TXF News: BAFT: One Hundred Not Out

Via TXF News

One hundred years of an international trade body was a virtual party not to be missed. TXF spoke to Tod Burwell in the wake of the Bankers Association for Finance and Trade’s (BAFT) centennial celebration to find out what has been the secret of the trade organisation’s longevity, how it has helped moved international trade in a positive way, and what excites the organisation’s President and CEO about the future.

Interestingly, in the Articles of Association of BAFT in 1921, it was established to provide a medium by which its members may interchange opinions and establish uniform systems for the conduct of foreign business, “to urge the passage of wise and useful legislation and to oppose the enactment of prejudicial laws’ and to aid the development and maintenance of foreign trade.” That was back when BAFT was the Bankers Association of Foreign Trade, and it was purely a US organisation. It’s been fully global for a long time now, but those goals remain.

TXF: What’s the recipe for surviving 100 years and helping finance a century of global change?

Tod Burwell (TB): At the association’s 100th anniversary celebration I sat down with some of the chairs from the past 25 years who shared the issues they faced at the time and what BAFT did. What struck me was that there were always significant issues and significant challenges, whether that was 9/11, a debt crisis, the global financial crisis, or some other issue that was affecting the entire industry.

And as chair of the industry association, the challenge was how do we rise to the occasion to help support members. That remains what powers and motivates all of us as a staff, as a board and as an industry. The balance of the centenary conference was forward-looking – although we did cover BAFT’s history – there was a sense of being in the new century.

The economic axes of the world have been shifting, as has geopolitics. The pandemic has really accelerated some of the trends that were taking place before, whether it’s digitization, the implications of changing trade lanes, digital currency, etc. When I think about our role, we have to remain keen to the problems and challenges that our members are facing and the way we provide tools that will help them transition.

TXF: Are banks still the chameleons you characterised them as being in 2019 [before the pandemic]?

TB: The theme this year was more about the network and the importance of the network in connectivity. That was in a lot of ways brought on by the pandemic. When we talk about change, the first overriding theme is how we used to work before, forget it! That’s not how we will work going forward. Everyone has had to adjust how they how they go about their business, and their daily lives. CEOs and regional CEOs at our conference talked about how organizations are adapting for the next 10 to 20 years, whether that’s having hybrid work arrangements or how they are truly committing to diversifying the workforce.

Sustainability has been a topic for the past couple of years, but it’s become much more urgent now. And if you think about the workforce and the next generation of leaders, it’s part of their DNA. The expectation is that organizations are going to have to be environmentally and socially conscious and they’re going to have to be inclusive and diverse. And if you’re not, then you’re not going to be able to get the talent to drive your business. It wasn’t explicitly said, but the sense that I was getting is that organizations are changing because the people in them are changing.

TXF: One of secrets of evolution that has been important for BAFT is bringing up the next generation of trade bankers to hand on the baton through the Future Leaders program – can you tell us more?

TB: This has been one my personal favourite endeavours since I’ve been at BAFT and I’m super proud of having been part of this. It’s powerfully important that we as an industry prepare for the transition of leadership. We had our sixth class of Future Leaders just complete five projects and we’re a month away from preparing for our seventh cohort. We’ve already had the opportunity of seeing some of our Future Leaders becoming heads of transaction banking, or becoming members of our board of directors and to go on to do great things.

I sit on the board of an executive education program and we were discussing the curriculum for the next group of executive leadership development. The topics that were being discussed were exactly the topics that BAFT Future Leaders just spent 16 weeks looking into. It will be interesting to hear the takeaways from the executive leadership on those same topics and be able to compare and contrast with the findings of the BAFT Future Leaders class of 2021. We’re excited about continuing this program. This year was our largest class, with participants from several new countries. It continues to grow and we look forward to taking it to the next level.

TXF: You mentioned environment, social and governance (ESG) and diversity and change which have been themes of the event and how to secure for the next 100 years. How is the ‘S’ – social – working together with the other elements of ESG in BAFT?

TB: Initially, when environmental issues and climate change started to come into the banking sector the focus was really on green bonds and how does a bank finance and enhance certain sectors versus others. Over the past year or so the transaction banking industry has found ways to better service their clients because their clients have taken on ESG much more assertively, much more aggressively in some cases.

European regulators have been one of the early ones to lay out some benchmarks for the industry, but it’s been the private sector that has really driven this much more so than government policy over the past couple of years. The banks have found that they need to be very active and capable to serve the interests of their clients.

One bank CEO told me that around 70% of their clients have some sort of ESG initiative and that becomes part of their regular conversations. The shift has now started to move from the E to the S. And I connect this in some ways with the growing emphasis on DE&I [Diversity, Equity and Inclusion] as well. But it’s got a very regional or local flavour to it because the role for organizations in society depends on which society you’re talking about. One of the Future Leaders projects looked at sustainable finance, and another looked at DE&I. These are global issues, but the takeaway was that the needs of the market and the focus of the market varies drastically by localaity. And so not just the environmental piece, but the social construct and the role of the intermediaries [in both].

TXF: We’ve talked about ESG but in terms of also digitization of trade, central bank currencies, Libor transition, Basel III, the future of payments, all topics that came up in the Centenary conference, any highlights you’re particularly looking forward to?

TB: Everything that you mentioned is something that we have an active workstream on. So there’s no shortage of problems to solve! The issues around Libor and Basel III, prudential issues I look on as a core, steady state of things we need to do and focus on. Where the energy and the excitement will be in the next couple of years is clearly going to be around digitization, both in trade digitization as well as the future of payments and the role of digital currencies.

I reflect back on a lunch at SIBOS 2019 with some members of a central bank. I posed the question around digital currency and whether it was in the interest of central banks to really advance and being much more aggressive and assertive on the topic, as opposed to trying to stop the trend. At that time, there was a lot of pushback, scepticism, and a lot of uncertainty that digital currencies were in some cases being used for things that were not healthy for the overall financial system.

Two years on, we’re in a very different place. There are 60 or 70 different central banks around the world who have some projects to implement or advance digital currencies in their markets. That has the potential to fundamentally change how people transact. It has the potential to create a lot more inclusivity in markets where the underbanked are really challenged. It will also force banks to accelerate some of the innovations that they’ve been working on. So I am most excited in the next couple of years about the changes that will come from digitization in trade and flows.

BAFT’s virtual audience seemed to share some of Burwell’s enthusiasm for central bank currencies – asked whether they thought ‘do we need a central bank digital currency?’ Only 17% said ‘no’, nearly half (46%), said ‘maybe’ and fully 37% said a definitive ‘yes’. Watch this space.

Officially announced at BAFT’s 100th Anniversary celebration, BAFT is pleased to recognize the following individuals for their tireless commitment and contribution to the association.

WASHINGTON – In an endeavor to publicly acknowledge individuals from member organizations who have volunteered their time and worked tirelessly with the association throughout the previous calendar year; BAFT annually awards select members with the BAFT Ambassador of the Year Award.

Ambassadors of the Year, are individuals nominated by BAFT staff. Potential recipients are chosen by the BAFT Ambassador of the Year Committee following nomination submissions from BAFT staff. Awardees are then selected from the list of potential nominees following a weighted voting process.

Officially announced at BAFT’s 2021 Virtual Global Annual Meeting on June 9, BAFT is pleased to recognize the following individuals for their invaluable assistance provided to the association throughout the past year and for helping to continually drive the mission and objectives of the association forward. 

  • Jeremiah Glock, Vice President & Trade Advisor, Citi
  • Rebecca Liao, Co-Founder, Skuchain
  • Henry Pfeiffer, Executive Director, Global Trade Product Management, J.P. Morgan
  • Barry Tooker, Chief Product Officer & Global Head of Product Management, iSoftware4Banks

We would like to thank the awardees for their time and commitment. Each has contributed substantially to an array of BAFT priorities including trade finance, payments, LIBOR and distributed ledger technology. Recipients’ awards will be mailed to them in lieu of an official awardee ceremony.

About BAFT
BAFT is the leading international financial services association whose membership includes large global and regional banks, service providers, and fintech companies headquartered around the world. BAFT provides advocacy, thought leadership, education, and a global forum for its members in transaction banking, including international trade finance and payments. For nearly a century, BAFT has expanded markets, shaped policy, developed business solutions, and preserved the safety and soundness of the global financial system. Learn more at www.baft.org.

BAFT Media Contact:
Blair Bernstein
[email protected]
+ 1 (202) 663-5468

Follow us on Twitter: @BAFT
Follow us on LinkedIn: BAFT

Via Bobsguide

Internationalisation of CBDC a Major Design Consideration

As the UK joins the list of global players considering issuing central bank digital currencies (CBDC), with the Bank of England taking practical steps to explore possible costs and benefits earlier this week, one crucial hurdle lies in the level of transnational utilisation they’d be able to guarantee, a Bank for International Settlements (BIS) advisor and a senior Bank of England specialist said.

One element of particular note concerns the possibility for non-residents to hold a country’s retail CBDC, said Ross Leckow, senior fintech advisor at the BIS Innovation Hub while speaking at BAFT’s annual global meeting.

“A particular design issue of importance for CBDCs is to what degree it would be internationalised, to what degree would the country issuing allow non-residents to hold it.”

Rachel Greener, senior CBDCs specialist at the BoE, added that another crucial ‘international’ design challenge of a CBDC is its potential use in cross-border payments.

“There is a lot of frictions involved in moving money across borders.”

Although the BoE has yet to make a decision on whether a sterling CBDC is necessary, interoperability with existing cross-border payments rails would be an “important topic for exploration”, Greener said.

“There are still opportunities to explore and there are still risks to understand.”

“Our view fundamentally is that payment system has to be grounded,” added Leckow.  “Money is a public good, in which the public sector, particularly central banks, has to play the critical part in ensuring that it is safe, efficient, and usable.”

The remarks add to global regulators’ and central bankers’ examination of how CBDCs could be implemented and of their possible implications on financial stability – with practical questions ranging from how these new forms of money could affect the two-tier banking system to whether central banks currently have legal authority to issue them.

The BoE consultation similarly brought up the concern that CBDCs could become another internationally traded asset and could further expose domestic economies to international shocks.

According to the paper, “there may be a trade-off between the optimal provision of transaction services – that is, payments – and intermediation services – that is, credit. On the one hand, the introduction of new forms of digital money may improve the range of transaction services available to people. On the other hand, it might reduce the efficiency of credit provision in the economy.”

Stable Coins

The BoE paper also seeks further insight into private-sector stable coins – crypto currencies pegged to a fiat currency – outlining  the need for these currencies to have the similar levels of trust that commercial bank money currently has. BAFT panellists agreed that stability is the key differentiator between stable coins and crypto assets (i.e. Bitcoin), which are extremely volatile and therefore represent an asset class that most regulators have discouraged investment in.

“The lack of price stability [in crypto-assets] is part of what has given rise to stable coins as a payment instrument,” said Dante Disparte, chief strategy officer at Circle.

“Part of the purpose of digitally-native payment instruments, whether it’s a CBDC or a stable coin, is to power an always-on, trusted form of payment that can live on the internet, reduce friction and reduce the type of opacity that we have with money transmission today.”

Though the US, the UK and the EU are considering regulation into stable coins, Disparts believes CBDCs and stable coins are part of a similar movement. He likens stable coins development to that of the Swift and other global payment networks.

“They have that property of being built in the line of sight of regulators and global interest, but really riding on private sector and free market innovations. The same holds true today with blockchain-based payment systems.

“A trusted digital currency, whether it’s privately issued or issued directly from a central bank, is only as good as the institutions [and] policies […] that guard it.”

Via Trade Finance Global

The macroeconomic impact of the pandemic and its prolonged impact on certain sectors of trade was discussed at length in a panel moderated by Jake Jacobson at the BAFT’s 2021 virtual Global Annual Meeting.

Where is inflation headed?

There has been a buzz surrounding inflation and its short and long term movements.

With inflation being at an all-time high in certain countries, it should come as no surprise that this term is being explored at alarming rates.

Due to high levels of fiscal and monetary policies being deployed globally, consumer confidence indices are dropping, as markets are riddled with uncertainty and consumers become more conservative. However, is this worry warranted, and how does it impact trade?

During the pandemic as people were forced to stay home, businesses were forced to close and the government intervened, causing global GDP to plummet. Despite this taking place over a short period of time, economic recovery from these short term shocks will take much longer. Coupled with the underlying uncertainty surrounding the duration of future lockdowns limits the ability of economies to return to a pre-covid level of activity, resulting in an economy that is bound to struggle to bounce back quickly.

Household expectations

Having said that, the panel strongly believed that inflation and its increase or decrease is strongly dependent upon market perception. Therefore, expectations are key: if consumers believe that there will be an inflationary rise, then economies may enter a wage-cost cycle, which could easily get away from the control of central banks. Data being released later this week about household expectations in the US could shed some light on these expectations. Household expectations are particularly important as these are the ones that tend to stick, impacting inflation the most, and are the hardest to turn around. Other surveys conducted in the US, indicated that in a 5-10 year period, households do expect an inflationary rise. This was, in part, expected and hoped by the Fed, however, there is the possibility inflation will surge higher than the Fed anticipated.

Labour market expectations

As a result of government intervention with financial aid packets to supplement the economy during the pandemic, the labour market appeared to have rebounded faster than other markets. However, the data collected so far appears to be somewhat contradictory. As the schemes that allowed employees to be paid to stay home and access to extensive government benefits continue until the summer, a new question arises: how will the labour market be mobilised to go back to work when they have health concerns?

We are now forced to come to terms with the harsh reality that we will not know if this is transitory inflation or lasting inflation for at least the next six months.

Expectations for the post-COVID-19 recovery

What was expected to last only a few months, appears to be harder to shake off than expected. During the pandemic, markets, such as the semiconductor market, experienced supply shocks, which could now last until 2022.

Central banks are very keen to prevent markets from viewing this shift in inflation as one that will remain. This is crucial for global recovery, as global recovery seems to be intact and going, somewhat, according to expectations. The Fed and ECB are concerned about markets starting to price higher yields as this could hinder the recovery that is underway.

Recovery tends to be cyclical. East Asia, China and surrounding countries appear to have peaked in terms of recovery and may now begin to experience a slowdown in economic activity. Contrastingly, Europe, which has struggled to recover until this, is likely to see an improvement in the coming months. America continues to perform well due to their strong policies.

Despite appearing slow, the speed of recovery, when compared to the 2008 financial crisis, is quite promising. The swift and quick actions of governments all around the world in conjunction with the fast implementation of fiscal policies have resulted in a recovery that is likely to last and not fail or stagnate

The pandemic did not impact everyone equally 

There were no winners or losers during the pandemic, but rather, put simply, there were people and businesses who were more technologically prepared and those who, unfortunately, were not. As a result, technology firms appear to have not only survived during this unprecedented time but thrived.

Their success and resilience cemented and accelerated the trend of digitisation. It became imperative to be able to not only utilise but also leverage technologies. This technology push was perceived by the panel as not only necessary but also a positive repercussion of the pandemic. Increasing the need for the implementation of technologies for survival in the post-COVID world will, inevitably, lead to innovation, and an increase in productivity.

The world post-COVID: resilience over efficiency

As previously mentioned digitisation is here to stay, particularly with giants, such as Amazon, thriving beyond any expectations leading to multiple businesses trying to copy their COVID-proof business model.

Furthermore, deglobalisation is on the rise. One of the clearest weaknesses the pandemic brought out in a large number of businesses was their fragility and susceptible supply chains. As a result, companies are now trying to make their supply chains more regional to boost their resilience. Depending on how this move performs in the coming months, will determine if the era of globalisation is truly over.

Mobility of people or, lack thereof, is another prominent point of the post-COVID world. Pre-pandemic, the mobility of people had been on a steady increase despite a dip in globalisation. As a result, the transportation sector was hit hard in 2020. This sector was one of the few sectors whose recovery was projected to be quick, however, it would appear the projection was wrong. This sector may be permanently damaged, the panel highlighted.

Despite the bleak expectations for the transportation sector, the services sector is expected to recover fairly quickly once services are allowed to operate again.

One interesting aspect of this new normal is that despite the certain degree of reluctance to return to working in the office, businesses were reluctant to enter business deals without personal interaction. Building trust is now, more than ever, at the heart of all businesses interactions and agreements in all sectors.

Furthermore, as the world came to a halt in 2020 the push for sustainability became immense. Consumers became even more concerned about climate change forcing companies to address the issue more vocally. As a result, prices for short flights, for instance, could rise as their environmental repercussions are now widely acknowledged. The great dilemma around energy-intensive industries: can clean energy meet up the demand? Or will we have to, in the interim period, go back to burning black coal? Will the inevitable increase in CO2 emissions in the interim period discourage consumers as CO2 emissions rise which could negatively impact an economy trying to get back up on its feet.

The unemployment gap is being addressed by the Fed, in the US, by stimulating the economy thus attempting to bring marginalised groups to the labour market. The labour market in the US, Europe, China and Japan, for example, have not entirely recovered. The conjunction of the pandemic with a constrained labour market makes this a challenging sector to recover in these countries. Labour markets in Indonesia, India and Vietnam, on the other hand, are thriving as they possess a growing population allowing the market to be easily supplemented.

How was trade impacted?

US-China tensions, the post-Brexit trading environment, and the global focus on Russia, all influenced the state of global pre-COVID trade. Now the global trading landscape has changed even more.

In the last global financial crisis when production tanked in the economy, there was an inevitable shift toward protectionism. Countries took up a “us vs them” mindset, with China, France and America publicly stating their positions. These countries wanted to keep as much of the stimulus they were pumping into the economy, inside the economy, where possible.

This is harder to achieve in a global economy such as the one of today, where supply chains inextricably nterlinked. Nevertheless, this is not the case in 2021, in fact, there is substantial growth than countries can handle. Countries have an excess of demand and no supply to meet it. The panel highlighted the predominant challenge of the second half of 2021 will be to find ways to meet the high demand.

To meet the demand for certain products, governments appear to be willing to provide subsidies and, consequently, buff up the resilience of national supply chains. Nevertheless, with technological developments, supply chains may experience an upgrade, making traditional supply chains obsolete to a certain degree.

All in all, the COVID-19 pandemic made the impossible possible, businesses closed down, people were asked to remain home and working from home became the new norm. Though the panel theorised what changes might take place in the post-COVID global market, uncertainty remains high and anything can happen.

The Class of 2021, comprised of 36 individuals from 26 countries, were recognized today during BAFT’s 2021 Virtual Global Annual Meeting.

WASHINGTON – BAFT, the leading global financial services association for international transaction banking, today announced the graduates of its Future Leaders Program class of 2021. The program – now completing its sixth year – recognizes upcoming leaders in the global transaction banking industry. The Future Leader graduates were honored during a virtual ceremony as a part of BAFT’s 2021 Annual Global Meeting.

Nominated by their respective institutions, the class of 2021 included 36 individuals from 21 countries across six continents representing a variety of disciplines within transaction banking. This year’s group was divided into five project teams to address current industry issues including transaction banking post COVID-19, commodity trade finance, sustainable finance, faster payments, and diversity, equity and inclusion.

“We are incredibly proud of this year’s graduates, which represent the largest and most geographically diverse Future Leaders class since the inception of the program,” said Tod Burwell, president and CEO, BAFT. “Despite the challenging circumstances, program participants were engaged and collaborative, and ultimately delivered projects that will enrich the transaction banking industry.”

The Future Leaders research papers are available for all BAFT members online here.

BAFT congratulates the following graduates from the Class of 2021.

  • Hanan Hassan Moalim Ali, International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation
  • Yaseen Alsharif, Arab Bank
  • Hanna G. Atallah, Housing Bank for Trade and Finance
  • Linda Bader, Wintrust Financial Corporation
  • Boris Bajic, Danske Bank
  • Thomas Banks, Lloyds Banking Group
  • Ahmed Bayoumi, Export Development Bank of Egypt (EBE)
  • Clement Berthou, Societe Generale
  • Caroline Brown, Wells Fargo Bank
  • Bruno Campos, Bank of America
  • Antonio Crespo, Nordea
  • Alexia Dackberg, Swedbank
  • Madlena Demirchian, Commerce Bank
  • Natalie Harold, NatWest
  • Christophe Hatt, BNP Paribas
  • Aaron Jennings, BNY Mellon
  • Elmira Jubanyshkaliyeva, Barclays
  • Mukuka Bwalya-Katowa, FNB Zambia
  • Zakir Khanmammadov, Kapital Bank
  • Rufus Kin Yan Lam, HSBC
  • Ryan Lastra, JPMorgan Chase & Co.
  • Thao Hanh Le, ING Bank
  • Yvonne Lim, UBS
  • Aline Perico Lime, StoneX
  • Sepideh Malekpour, Surecomp
  • Jocelyn Tong-Palmer, ANZ Banking Group
  • Pauline Pang, MUFG Bank
  • Rachel Parks, Derivative Path, Inc.
  • Abir Paul, BMO Capital Markets
  • Sara Pianigiani, Standard Chartered
  • Grzegorz Pojnar, Santander Bank
  • Joshua Randolph, PNC Bank
  • Theresa Donnelly-Staerk, Deloitte
  • Xi-Ping Tan, Deutsche Bank
  • Ruben Valentino, Banorte
  • Mouli Vasan, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank

About BAFT
BAFT is the leading international financial services association whose membership includes large global and regional banks, service providers, and fintech companies headquartered around the world. BAFT provides advocacy, thought leadership, education, and a global forum for its members in transaction banking, including international trade finance and payments. For nearly a century, BAFT has expanded markets, shaped policy, developed business solutions, and preserved the safety and soundness of the global financial system. Learn more at www.baft.org.

BAFT Media Contact:
Blair Bernstein
Director, Public Relations
[email protected]
+ 1 (202) 663-5468

On June 3 BAFT’s Outgoing Board Chair, Mark Garfield, published his last monthly communication to the wider BAFT membership.

During BAFT’s 2021 Virtual Global Annual Meeting next week, we will celebrate the association’s 100th anniversary. I imagine the first meeting in 1921 was not global; just a few men in a small conference room in Cleveland, Ohio smoking cigarettes and discussing foreign trade. Next week’s meeting will have 1,500+ attendees representing financial partners from around the world in a virtual event discussing topics such as artificial intelligence, open banking, and digitization. Yet, many of the conversations between us are likely the same: how to integrate globally to support the worldwide flow of goods and services, and how to recover following a global pandemic.

My maternal grandmother was a young adult in 1918, and she recorded her memories of the challenges, deaths, and scarcities during the Spanish Flu. She wrote, “It was a very sad and dark time. It was hard to be cheerful. I hope and pray it never comes again.” I’ve reflected on my grandma Verna’s experience many times this past year. What is different? What is similar? It’s interesting to reflect that the first BAFT meeting also came on the heels of a global pandemic. This time, though, we are fortunate to have modern technology that allows us to stay connected, share best practices, and collaborate to solve problems. Over the past 100 years, our industry’s support of the global supply chain has grown more important and sophisticated, and I expect another 100 years of progress.

It has been an honor to serve as the Chair of BAFT for the past two years. I’ve enjoyed working with the BAFT staff, its Board of DirectorsRegional Councils, planning and product committees, and individual members. I’ve observed the tremendous effort made to transform BAFT into a virtual global association and expand its reach and role, and I am pleased that our four regional councils of North America, Europe, MENA, and Asia became five with the addition of the African Council.

As Chair, I represented Zions Bancorporation, a regional U.S. bank headquartered in the Rocky Mountains. Our new Chair, Maram Al-Jazireh, represents Arab Bank, headquartered in Amman Jordan, which is the first time the Chair has been held outside Europe or North America. It’s exciting and gratifying that BAFT truly has become a global organization.

My grandmother survived the Spanish Flu, and I knew her only as cheerful. She made it through those difficult days and would frequently marvel at all the many innovations that were developed after 1918. I look forward to a future of innovation, collaboration, connection, and friendship with you all. 

Cheers!

Mark Garfield
Outgoing BAFT Chair
Head of Global Financial Institutions
Zions Bancorporation

BAFT Media Contact:

Blair Bernstein
[email protected]
+ 1 (202) 663-5468

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